AGI Development & Validation - The industry anticipates achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) potentially by 2030 [1] - The industry will assess AGI through consistency checks and significant milestones, such as "move 37" [1] - AGI validation involves inventing new physics conjectures or hypotheses, potentially back-testing against historical knowledge cutoffs like 1900 [2] - AGI's capabilities could be demonstrated by inventing games as deep and elegant as Go, not just new strategies [3] - AGI systems should exhibit generality across multiple domains, not just excel in one [3] - Validation includes consistency checks to ensure no system loopholes [4] - The industry would seek validation from world experts in relevant domains, ensuring the system can explain its workings [5]
Timeline for AGI: 2030 with 50% chance
Lex Fridmanยท2025-08-08 23:23