Political & Geopolitical Analysis - Netanyahu's potential operation in Gaza City is influenced by Trump's acquiescence, Knesset recess, stalled negotiations with Hamas, and domestic political gains [1][2] - Netanyahu's governing strategy relies on maintaining a coalition and US support, allowing him to maneuver despite public opinion [3][4] - The international community, including European countries and Arab states, has largely failed to impose significant costs or consequences on Israel that would alter its strategy [5] - The UN Security Council is deadlocked due to disagreements between Russia, China, and the US, hindering any potential action [8] Conflict Dynamics - Hamas has toughened its terms in negotiations, contributing to the ongoing impasse [2][10] - Despite international warnings of a potential calamity, the possibility of an Israeli offensive in Gaza remains [7] - Efforts to end the war are stalled, with concerns for hostages, their families, and Palestinian civilians in Gaza [6] International Response - Germany continues to purchase $4 billion in Israeli aerodyn missile systems despite a partial arms embargo [5] - The international community is divided and self-interested, limiting effective action [7] - Actions like supporting Palestinian statehood are seen as virtue signaling and unlikely to impact the Israeli government [8][9]
Netanyahu not facing ‘pressure’ from US to backdown from planned offensive: Fmr. Mideast negotiator
NBC News·2025-08-11 23:00