Mahn: We're in batting practice of a double header for the AI revolution

Market & Rate Cut Expectations - The market anticipates a rate cut in September, with a high probability (96% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 4% chance of a 50 basis point cut) factored into expectations [2][3] - PPI is expected to align with expectations, similar to CPI, and is unlikely to alter the prevailing narrative of a rate cut [2][3] - The market is primarily focused on the Federal Reserve's actions in September and the potential for a new trade agreement [6] Geopolitical Risk - The meeting between Vladimir Putin and President Trump in Alaska is not expected to pose a direct market risk, despite potential geopolitical and precedent risks [4][5] AI Infrastructure - The discussion highlights the ongoing AI revolution and the investment opportunities within AI infrastructure [6][7] - Companies are announcing tens of billions of dollars of investment into AI infrastructure [9] - AECOM is identified as a potential beneficiary of AI infrastructure spending, providing engineering, consulting, and construction services to data centers [8][9][10] Municipal Bonds - Municipal bonds have faced price struggles year-to-date due to issuers pulling forward new issuance [10][11] - Reduced issuance for the remainder of the year, coupled with consistent demand, is expected to drive prices higher [11] - Tax-free income from municipal bonds is attractive to high net worth investors, making them a favored investment [12] - Investors focused on income potential should prioritize the coupon from bond ETFs and consider buying individual bonds for a dependable income stream and principal protection [13][14]