Jim Cramer talks the dynamic between wage inflation and layoffs
CNBC Television·2025-08-14 23:48

Labor Market & Wage Deflation - The labor market is experiencing wage deflation, which will become more apparent soon [14] - Companies are hesitant to hire due to the high cost of labor and are exploring digitization and automation ("agentics") as alternatives [4][3] - AI is expected to contribute to wage deflation in law firms, accounting firms, and advertising firms, as these organizations are reluctant to hire due to the potential for AI to replace jobs [10][11][12] - Layoffs are anticipated in host banks due to mergers and acquisitions, specifically Capital One's acquisition of Discover [8] Company Specifics & Industry Trends - Intel's balance sheet is weak and may require government intervention [2] - Amazon is expanding same-day grocery delivery to 2,300 cities, potentially impacting DoorDash, Instacart, Kroger, and Target [6][7] - FedEx and Amazon are utilizing robots in warehouses, reducing the need for human labor and lowering delivery costs [5] - Mergers and acquisitions are expected to increase, leading to layoffs, especially with the Biden administration's de facto ban on M&A activity ending [9] Inflation & Producer Price Index (PPI) - The focus should be on wage deflation rather than outliers in the PPI, such as trucking prices and diesel, which are expected to reverse [8] - Tariffs may force companies to raise prices, but wage deflation will ultimately be more significant [13][14]