Economic Impact of War - War has acted as a significant stimulus for the Russian economy, leading to increased military spending since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine [2] - Russia's economy in 2024 outpaced most advanced nations, including the US, due to its economic focus on supplying the war effort [4] - The expansion of the military-industrial complex has absorbed labor, causing unemployment in Russia to fall to a 30-year low [5] Sanctions and Adaptation - Despite being the most sanctioned major economy, Russia has demonstrated an ability to adapt to economic pressure [3] - Russia's oil and gas sector, constituting approximately 20% of its GDP, has largely sustained high levels of spending [6] Future Outlook and Risks - Experts anticipate Russia will attempt to sustain its military economy for years, potentially eyeing conflicts beyond Ukraine [7] - Russian defense expenditure is projected to peak in 2025, contingent on a ceasefire, with spending remaining elevated compared to 2021-2022 levels [7] - Concerns are growing that potential actions could have far-reaching consequences, especially as cracks in Russia's economy begin to surface [6]
Why Russia’s Economy Hasn’t Collapsed Yet
The Wall Street Journal·2025-08-15 16:00