Market Trends & Analysis - The market is experiencing a persistent uptrend with major averages hovering near all-time highs, and a breakout in June fostered additional upside momentum [1][2] - Technical analysis suggests a price objective of approximately 6880 with a timeframe of 2026 for the S&P 500, with support around 6130 [2] - The 20-day moving average is pointing higher for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, advising clients to stay invested as long as this trend continues [12][13] - August and September typically carry seasonal headwinds and volatility [11] - October tends to carry volatility but also major lows, potentially offering a reset for Q4 [13][15] Oil & Energy Sector - Crude oil showed an oversold indication on the monthly chart around April-May lows, but needs to break above resistance in the mid $70s to reverse the downtrend [5] - The energy sector continues to underperform [5] Yield Curve & Interest Rates - The yield curve is considered important, especially with events like Jackson Hole, employment reports, CPI, and PPI, but remains at the low end of the range [6] - A neutral bias on yields has been maintained for most of the year [7] - Peaks in the fed funds rate tend to be associated with peaks in the S&P 500 [8] Bitcoin Analysis - Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase with a neutral short-term bias, having broken out above former resistance at approximately 108,000 [19] - Bitcoin has support around 111,000 and a potential objective of approximately 134,000 to 135,000 based on the breakout [19]
There's not a lot not to like about this rally, says Fairlead's Katie Stockton
CNBC Televisionยท2025-08-18 11:08