The market is likely to broaden out in 2026, says Citi's Rob Rowe

GDP & Economic Outlook - Private consumption historically represented 70% of GDP growth, but in 2025, AI spending is projected to contribute the same amount [1] - The US GDP growth is anticipated to slow to 1-1.5% in the first half of the year and 1% in the second half [2] - Markets are looking beyond a potential US slowdown this year, anticipating growth from tech and innovation next year [3] AI & Tech Investment - AI companies are fairly valued versus growth when looking at PEG ratios [4] - Concerns exist regarding the economy's reliance on AI and capex spending, as this spending could be turned off more easily than consumer spending [5] - Infrastructure growth, including data centers, power grids, and chips, is necessary to support AI development [6][7] - Digital services exports are growing exponentially and now account for 40% of global exports [7] - Current capex and infrastructure investments are primarily funded by strong cash flows, unlike the overleveraged situations in the past [8][9] Market Strategy - The industry expects a broadening out of investment opportunities to other sectors next year [10] - The industry is currently overweighting tech and communications due to their growth prospects [10]