Trump is willing to impose costs on Putin that he wasn't before, says expert

Geopolitical Analysis - The analysis suggests that Vladimir Putin is primarily interested in acquiring land rather than pursuing genuine peace [1] - The report indicates that Russia currently occupies 20% of Georgia, highlighting a pattern of territorial aggression [4][17] - The document points out that isolating Putin has not been effective, suggesting the need for a different approach [9] - The analysis mentions the possibility of regime change in Russia, but also expresses concern about potential successors [13][14] US Foreign Policy & Impact - The report observes an evolution in President Trump's stance towards Putin, noting a willingness to impose costs [5][6] - Secondary sanctions on India, which increased Russian oil imports from 1% to 42%, are considered significant [6] - The analysis suggests Trump offers Putin legitimacy through photo ops, a tactic Biden couldn't employ [7] - The report highlights the importance of security guarantees for Ukraine, potentially resembling a NATO-like arrangement [7][9][16] Risks & Uncertainties - The document acknowledges the high likelihood of renewed conflict, emphasizing the long-term nature of the situation [8][18] - The analysis expresses concern that the world might accept Russia's occupation of Ukrainian land, similar to the situation in Georgia [17][18] - The report notes the risk associated with a potential power vacuum in Russia, fearing that nationalists succeeding Putin could be even more dangerous [14][15]