‘The Russians aren’t serious about wanting peace’ in Ukraine, fmr. diplomat warns

Geopolitical Analysis - Russia is setting conditions that delay any potential meeting between Presidents Putin and Zelensky, indicating a lack of seriousness about peace [1][11] - The Kremlin uses propaganda to question Zelensky's legitimacy as president due to the ongoing martial law and absence of new elections in Ukraine [2] - Zelensky reports nearly 600 drone and 40 missile attacks by Russia, including one on an American-owned factory, showing no sign of meaningful negotiations [3] - The White House claims that behind-the-scenes efforts are being made to plan a meeting between Russian and Ukrainian officials, brokered by the United States [6] - The US is considering severe consequences for Russia, including a clear open-ended commitment to Ukraine's defense, military aid, and intelligence [13] - The US made a tactical error by embracing Putin's approach of seeking a peace deal before a ceasefire, prolonging the war [17] - The primary concern is whether the US will withdraw support for Ukraine's defense, which is crucial for achieving a ceasefire and eventual peace [20] - The conflict's outcome has global implications, potentially encouraging other nations to acquire territory by force, such as China's stance on Taiwan [21][22] US Policy & Diplomacy - The White House is not publicly responding to Russia's bombardment of an American business or the Russian foreign minister's comments [6] - The US is letting diplomacy play out, remaining hopeful that it can push for a meeting between Russia and Ukraine [10] - There is a narrative that even if additional sanctions were imposed on Russia, they might not have much of an impact [9] - The US should focus on providing Ukraine with the means to defend itself and increase the costs of war for Russia [17]