X @Doctor Profit 🇨🇭

Market Analysis & Prediction - The report anticipates a significant market correction in September, triggered by the FED's rate cut, unlike the insignificant cut in September 2024 [2] - The analysis points to Bitcoin's bearish chart patterns, including a CME gap around 93 thousand, liquidity concentration in the 90-95 thousand region, and the need to retest the EMA50 weekly, suggesting a correction towards the 93-95 thousand range [3] - The report highlights bearish divergences on daily and weekly Bitcoin charts, reinforcing the expectation of a correction [3] - The author expects ETH to run to 7-8 thousand and Bitcoin to push toward 145-150 thousand after the September correction [5] Retail Investor Behavior - On-chain metrics indicate retail investors typically buy high and sell low, exemplified by their late entry between 110-120 thousand after the June dip from 110 thousand to 98 thousand was largely bought by big players [4] - The market needs to flush out retail investors who entered heavily at high levels, driving prices down to their liquidation zone of 90-95 thousand before the next upward movement [4] - The current market sentiment is described as a "fake bullish sentiment" fueled by euphoria, endless expectations, and blind trust in authority, which is considered a bull trap [4] Trading Strategy - The author has been taking daily profits of 10% from ETH and BTC holdings since August 18th, rolling it into building a short position within a defined "short area" [5] - The author's strategy involves accumulating shorts and distributing spot holdings within the mentioned short area, focusing solely on BTC and excluding ETH or other altcoins [5] - The author's current portfolio allocation is 60% Cash + Shorts and 40% Spot bags, with a daily shift of 10% from Spot into Shorts, using x5 leverage [5]