X @Bankless

Market Cycle Analysis - Crypto cycles are historically four-year rhythms, with potential for a Q4 2025 peak or extension into 2026 [1] - The analysis incorporates onchain and macro signals to understand the current cycle's trajectory [1] - Global liquidity trends and the impact of central bank policies, such as the Federal Reserve's stance, are crucial factors [1] Macroeconomic Factors - Powell's dovish pivot at Jackson Hole influences market dynamics [1] - Loosening bank lending standards could stimulate risk-on markets [1] - Inflation and market psychology are key considerations [2] Bitcoin and Altcoin Dynamics - Whale Bitcoin selling patterns are relevant to the cycle map [1] - ETH's breakout and altcoin flows provide insights into market trends [1] - Altcoin market dynamics are analyzed to understand broader market behavior [2] Portfolio Strategy - Portfolio construction strategies involve balancing core holdings with high-beta assets [1] - Holding fewer, higher-conviction assets is highlighted as a potential edge for investors [1] - Cash allocation strategies are discussed [2]