Tariff inflation pressures will mount over the coming months, says Vanguard's Joe Davis

Market Trends & Fed Influence - The market is influenced by the Federal Reserve's independence, which impacts interest rates and financial markets [3] - Debates about whether the Federal Reserve is dovish or hawkish are ongoing and impact portfolio managers' decisions [5] - Bond market indicators, including the yield curve, inflation expectations, and currency markets, are key factors in shaping the market outlook [5] Investment Strategy & Asset Allocation - Vanguard believes US exceptionalism has a time stamp, suggesting diversification outside the US is prudent, regardless of AI outlook [7] - Fixed income market is more compelling than it has been in 15-20 years, offering opportunities for active risk-taking [9] - Bonds are back, offering higher coupons and diversification benefits, making them attractive even for those skittish on the equity market [10] - Intermediate exposure is recommended as a starting point for Treasury investments, cautioning against short duration strategies [13] Bond Market Opportunities - Many bonds have outperformed the US equity market over the past 25 years [8] - The fixed income market presents compelling opportunities for returns and diversification [11] - Consider the re-entry point when the Federal Reserve eases, as it's a challenging aspect of tactical investing [14]