Why 10-year treasuries drive mortgage rates. 🏠📉

Mortgage Rate Trends - 30-year mortgage rates have fluctuated between approximately 6% and nearly 8% over the past two years [1] - Despite the Federal Reserve cutting short-term rates, longer-term rates have been increasing [1] - Historically, the Federal Reserve cuts rates when entering or already in a recession, leading to lower rates across the board due to decreased inflation expectations [1] Factors Influencing Mortgage Rates - The 10-year Treasury yield is a key driver of mortgage rates [2] - Supply and demand of treasuries significantly impact mortgage rates [2] Impact of Government Borrowing - Increasing government borrowing leads to a rising supply of treasuries [3] - If the demand for treasuries does not keep pace with the rising supply, bond prices decrease, resulting in higher yields (rates) [3]