Market Overview & Growth Indicators - HSBC suggests remaining "risk on" for the final four months of the year, indicating a positive outlook on market risk [1] - The US is showing signs of growth reacceleration, particularly in high-frequency indicators like credit card spending and retail sales [2] - High-frequency indicators across labor, consumption, and manufacturing sectors are showing signs of pickup since late June/early July [3] - Expectations for the second half of the year (H2) are low, creating a low bar to surpass [4] Labor Market Analysis - Official labor market data is tricky due to a strong reversal in immigration flows, making it difficult to pinpoint the break-even payroll number [7] - A payroll number around 50,000-70,000 might be enough to keep the unemployment rate steady or even lower, given immigration flow reversals [7] - The focus is on the unemployment rate, which, if steady, suggests the labor market isn't in significant trouble [8][9] Investment Strategy - The rally is expected to broaden out beyond AI and tech, with more economically sensitive sectors starting to participate [5]
Sectors outside of AI and tech can begin to participate in the market, says HSBC's Max Kettner
CNBC Televisionยท2025-09-02 15:37