華爾街九月魔咒
LEI·2025-09-04 05:04

Market Analysis of the "September Curse" - Historically, the stock market, particularly the US stock market, has shown the lowest average return in September since 1928, with an average return rate of -1.2% [1] - This phenomenon isn't limited to the US stock market; global stock markets, including Hong Kong, the UK, and Canada, also exhibit similar trends [1] Reasons for the "September Curse" - Large institutions on Wall Street typically take vacations from June to August, and upon returning in September, they concentrate on adjusting their investment portfolios [1] - Due to historical data indicating a higher probability of market declines in September, investors tend to avoid potential losses by collectively adjusting and selling stocks, leading to a self-fulfilling prophecy [1] - Many fund companies end their fiscal year in September and aim to improve their annual financial reports by selling underperforming stocks and adjusting their holdings before the end of the month [1] - The US government's fiscal year ends in September, coinciding with the Federal Reserve's annual meeting, which determines monetary policy adjustments and expectations, creating policy uncertainties that lead investors to be cautious and reduce buying activity [1] Investment Strategies - It's unnecessary to deliberately avoid the "September Curse" or market declines, as historical negative average returns are influenced by past major bear markets, and not every September experiences a downturn [1] - Avoiding potential declines may also mean missing out on potential gains, and the cost of missing gains can be significant for long-term investors [1] - Long-term investors shouldn't be overly concerned about one underperforming month out of the year, as it's unlikely to affect long-term investment returns [1] - Investors can capitalize on potential September market dips by reallocating assets or increasing investments, which may enhance long-term compounding effects [1]

華爾街九月魔咒 - Reportify