Ukraine's Top Allies Gather to Discuss Security Guarantees, Possible New Russian Offensive

Geopolitical Landscape & Potential Negotiations - A meeting between Zelenskiy and Putin in Moscow is considered highly unlikely due to past events and Putin's perceived lack of progress with the Ukrainian administration [1][2][3] - Zelenskiy's willingness to meet, potentially driven by a desire to engage with Donald Trump, is viewed with skepticism [4][5] - Trump has "no message" for Putin, indicating a wait-and-see approach regarding Putin's decisions [6][7] - The US has already imposed 50% tariffs on India for buying Russian crude, signaling potential further pressure on Russia [8] - Trump is observing Putin's interactions with other world leaders, assessing the seriousness of Putin's intentions regarding peace in Ukraine [9] European Coalition & Security - European leaders are meeting to discuss the "day after" in Ukraine, including potential peacekeeping forces to prevent further Russian incursions [11][12] - The specifics of a potential peacekeeping force (size, participants, function) remain undefined [12] - European leaders aim to engage Trump to strategize and align on a unified approach [13] US Military Presence in Europe - Trump is willing to maintain or even increase US troop deployment in Poland, despite potential troop movements elsewhere in Europe [15][16][17] - The US is conducting a strategic review of its global military presence, raising concerns in Europe about potential troop withdrawals [16] - There are approximately 85,000 US troops across Europe, with 40,000 stationed in Germany [16]