X @Easy

Investment Strategy - Prediction markets offer opportunities for patient investors who can hold positions early and capitalize on time decay [1] - Time decay creates a premium for event-based contracts, where the value increases as the resolution date approaches if the event has not occurred [1] - Identifying markets where an event is unlikely to occur by a specific date allows investors to benefit from the increasing odds as time passes [1] Risk Management - The primary risk is the occurrence of the predicted event, which would result in a loss [4] - Shorter time frames and smaller profit targets can mitigate risk and allow for consistent gains [4] - Data analysis, announcements, and market insights are crucial for identifying favorable odds and managing risk [4] Examples of Successful Strategies - An investment in the "Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast" market on August 27th at 639 mills (0639 USD) yielded an 11% gain in one week as the resolution date neared [2] - An investment in the "Google's Gemini Release by October 31st" market at 523 mills (0523 USD) resulted in an 11% gain due to the release of another AI product, Nano Bannana, making a Gemini release less likely in the short term [3] Key Takeaway - Time is a valuable asset in prediction markets, and investors can leverage it to their advantage by carefully selecting markets and utilizing data-driven insights [4][5]