Ethereum: Dubious Speculation

Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests Ethereum's price is slowly declining from around $4,900 in mid-August [2] - The industry expected Ethereum to rally to all-time highs after reaching the regression band [2] - The report anticipates a rejection of Ethereum's rally to all-time highs, citing the need for Ethereum to durably exceed $5,000 for altcoins to outperform Bitcoin [3] - Seasonality trends indicate that altcoin/Bitcoin pairs often peak around late August [3][4] - The analysis posits that Ethereum is unlikely to break $5,000 in September, aligning with the seasonality of altcoin/Bitcoin pairs [6] - The industry predicted an all-time high for Ethereum in August, followed by a pullback to the 21-week EMA (Exponential Moving Average) in September [7] Potential Price Correction - The report suggests a potential 30% drop for Ethereum from its local high to the 21-week EMA, which translates to approximately a 20% drop from current levels [10] - The analysis anticipates Ethereum dropping to the 21-week EMA by late September or early October before rallying back up [11][19] Altcoin Performance - Altcoins bottomed against Ethereum the week of August 18th, coinciding with Ethereum's all-time high [14][15] - Altcoins may rally against Ethereum because Ethereum is expected to drop more significantly to its 21-week EMA compared to altcoins [17][18]