X @Easy

Some prediction market alpha.Market is more or less predicting a guaranteed rate cut for September- 1 cut is 81%- 2 cut is 18%December has 1 rate cut at 61%However the October market is only pricing in a 57% chance at 1 cut.I believe the OCT 1 cut at 57% is the best value here.It seems to be getting devalued due to the potential 2 cuts in September.If September only has 1 rate cut, the October odds will go toward 75/80% almost immediately after imo.That’s a 35-40% gain you could net in 5 days from now.On to ...