Market Outlook & Economic Indicators - The yield curve, a leading economic indicator, inverted for 784 days, the longest in US history, signaling potential economic trouble ahead [2] - Historically, a market crash (recession) has occurred within 2-6 months after the yield curve normalization, but this cycle's inversion lasted much longer, suggesting a delayed but inevitable recession [2] - The analysis suggests a high-risk period for a recessionary crash extending through Q2 2026 [2][5] - Bond market conditions (10-year yield ~405%, 2-year yield ~347%) indicate high risk, mirroring pre-crash scenarios of 2001 and 2007 [2] Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis & Trading Strategy - Despite the recessionary outlook, the analysis maintains a 90,000-94,000 USD target for Bitcoin [1][3][4][5] - The firm has already executed 70% capital sits in USDT/shorts, and the remaining 30% spot is waiting for a retest of the short zone to unload and add even more shorts [3] - The strategy involves selling 10% of spot holdings daily into strength and loading shorts around the 115,000-125,000 USD distribution zone [3] - Post 90,000-94,000 USD target, the analysis anticipates either a move towards 140,000 USD before the recession crash or an immediate recession crash [4] - Any long positions taken after a potential 90,000 USD bounce will be treated as high-risk due to the high confidence in a crash occurring between now and Q2 2026 [5]
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Doctor Profit ๐จ๐ญยท2025-09-10 13:14