X @Ash Crypto

Market Analysis - Altseason typically begins when Bitcoin dominance peaks and declines [1] - The combined dominance of BTC and stablecoins has historically signaled the start of Altseason [1][2] - A rejection from the combined dominance ceiling in 2025 suggests a potential upcoming Altseason [1] Liquidity and Demand - Risk-on capital is awaiting rate cuts and QE to expand liquidity, which will benefit alts [3] - Retail demand, search interest, and social engagement are currently below 2021 peaks, indicating missing fuel for alt rallies [3] - Liquidity is still building, preventing alts from moving significantly [4] Narrative and Catalysts - The absence of a dominant narrative, unlike the DeFi, NFTs, and Metaverse trends of 2021, is currently holding back altcoins [3] - Potential catalysts for a larger Altseason include deeper institutional participation, ETF approvals for major alts, and broader use case narratives like AI, RWA, and ETH staking [5] Future Outlook - If BTC + stablecoin dominance continues to decline as in past cycles, it would set the stage for the next large-scale Altseason [3] - Alts historically deliver their biggest gains after Bitcoin tops out and capital rotates into the broader market [4] - The scale of the next Altseason is anticipated to be far larger than previous ones [5]