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There's no indication the Fed will be entering a major easing cycle, says TD Cowen's Jeffrey Solomon
CNBC Televisionยท2025-09-16 16:03

Market Outlook & IPOs - The IPO market is performing well and considered healthy, avoiding the dynamics seen in 2021 [1][2] - A good IPO market anticipates Federal Reserve easing [2] - The market anticipates the Fed will cut rates by at least 25 basis points [3] Federal Reserve Policy - The market might be disappointed by the lack of clear signals from the Fed regarding future rate cuts [4] - The speaker anticipates one more rate cut before year-end, but not as much as 75 basis points, due to factors like tariffs [5] - The Fed is expected to be data-driven and cautious in its approach [8] - The Fed chair is unlikely to signal a major easing cycle to continue fighting inflation [7] Economic Indicators - A 900,000 job readjustment signaled the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates [4] - Core goods deflation has reversed into modest inflation [6] - The current curve doesn't resemble that of last fall, which is reassuring [9] - Flattening of the yield curve (2s and 10s) is seen as beneficial [9] - The focus should shift to economic growth and avoiding a recession [11]