Nadji: Office space demand will never be the same after the pandemic

Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - Commercial real estate construction is slowing down, which is seen as a positive development for the sector [1] - Equity for development has been cautious and pulled out of the market for the last 2 and a half years, awaiting price stabilization and sustained demand before re-entering [2] - Multifamily unit production has seen a significant pullback after record production [3] - Industrial properties are correcting overbuilding due to a pullback in new development [4] - Retail real estate is experiencing a comeback due to repositioning and the integration of online and physical presences, driven by experiential factors [14] - Multifamily rentals are projected to remain strong due to the high affordability gap between renting and owning homes [16] Office Space Dynamics - Office space demand is unique due to post-pandemic issues, with daily attendance reaching 80% of pre-pandemic levels, up from less than 70% a year ago and less than 60% two years ago [7] - While the labor market is slowing, existing workers are being asked to return to the office, influencing lease renewals [8][9] - Demand for office space will not return to pre-pandemic levels due to new cost-cutting strategies [9] - Older Class B and C office properties face higher vacancy rates (30-40%) compared to newer, modern, and suburban office properties (11-115%) [10] Investment Opportunities - Campus housing, particularly near large and high-profile public universities, continues to see strong demand and stable revenues [12] - Experiential retail, such as malls with aquariums and zoos, presents potential investment opportunities [13]