Workflow
Momentum is powerful and there is a lot of it in this market, says Carson Group's Ryan Detrick
CNBC Televisionยท2025-09-23 19:17

Market Outlook - Carson Group expects a strong end-of-year rally, maintaining a bullish stance despite potential short-term volatility [1][2] - The fourth quarter is projected to be up almost 6% based on median returns, historically performing well after five consecutive months of gains [4] - The market may experience a 4% to 6% correction, which would be considered a healthy pullback [5] Economic Indicators - Strong earnings, profit margins, and consumer spending indicate no immediate recession [6] - Credit markets are functioning well, supporting ongoing deal-making activity, including AI deals [9] - Retail sales data from the previous week suggests a robust consumer base [6] Investor Behavior - Put-to-call ratios are at some of the lowest levels of the year, indicating increasing optimism [5] - US equity funds experienced inflows of $58 billion, the highest this year, reflecting growing investor confidence [5] - Corporate buybacks are at record highs, indicating corporations are deploying significant cash reserves [7] Potential Risks - Over-optimism and complacency in certain market segments could lead to a correction [10] - Technology sector concentration (34% of the market) poses a risk; diversification is recommended [14] - Lack of broad market participation, with only technology and communication services outperforming recently, suggests potential consolidation [11][12]