X @Easy

Prediction Market Analysis - The analysis focuses on potential outcomes of a South Park episode related to prediction markets [1] - The author plans to allocate most of their playing capital on three main predictions [1] Specific Predictions - Expectation that the term "scam" will be used in relation to Kalshi, with a probability under 65% [1] - Expectation that "Trump" will be mentioned less than 3 times on Polymarket, with a probability under 50% [1] - Expectation that "Predict/Prediction" will be mentioned 10+ times on Polymarket, with a probability under 75% [1] Small Gambles/Flyers - A small gamble on "Tylenol" being mentioned (YES) with a probability under 30% for a potential 3x return [1] - A small gamble on "polymarket" not being mentioned (NO) with a probability under 80% [1] - A small gamble on "kalshi" not being mentioned (NO) with a probability under 80% [1]