BTC跌破！假突破後，直接去前低？毫無強勢，直接走壞？

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is showing a significant downward trend on the daily chart, despite a minor positive correction yesterday [1] - A previous support/resistance level was tested, and the failure to hold above it suggests a high probability (80%) of further decline to the next low [1] - The speaker anticipates a potential short-term long position if Bitcoin bounces back from the next low, aiming to profit from liquidity grabs at higher levels like $120,000 or all-time high, before initiating a medium to long-term short position [1] - Ethereum is also experiencing a sharp decline, mirroring Bitcoin's movements and potentially undergoing a longer period of consolidation after a false breakout [1] Trading Strategies - The speaker suggests setting alarms at the next low to monitor for potential long opportunities if a strong rebound occurs [1] - A short-term long strategy is considered if Bitcoin breaks below and then recovers the parallel low, with a target to liquidate at higher liquidity zones [1] - For Ethereum, a long trade is possible if the price breaks below and then recovers a flat bottom area; otherwise, it may follow a similar pattern of false breakout followed by a decline [1] Risk Management - The speaker emphasizes the importance of adjusting one's perspective based on current market behavior, rather than fixed predictions [1] - The speaker highlights a potential bull trap on the hourly chart, where a breakout followed by a pullback may lure traders into long positions before a sharp decline [1] - The speaker plans to take profit in a timely manner if the price reaches a higher position, and try to make a mid- to long-term short [1]