How Yi Peng 3 and Newnew Polar Bear wreaked havoc in the Baltic Sea

Geopolitical Risk & Security Concerns - Critical undersea infrastructure, such as the Slink 2 electric cable between Finland and Estonia, has been severely damaged, raising concerns about national security [1] - Suspicion falls on Russia, with potential intentional acts of aggression impacting NATO airspace and critical infrastructure [3] - The use of a "shadow fleet" by Russia to circumvent sanctions is highlighted as a potential factor contributing to these incidents [4][5][8] - NATO has initiated Operation Baltic Sentry to monitor underwater infrastructure and commercial vessels in the Baltic Sea, acting as a deterrent [15][16] Investigation & Attribution Challenges - The Eagle S oil tanker is suspected of deliberately severing the undersea cable, with police investigating the incident [2] - Investigations into incidents involving the Newnew Polar Bear and Yeping 3 are ongoing, with both vessels suspected of damaging undersea cables [9][10][11] - Proving intentional damage on the high seas is difficult, with crews often claiming accidents [12][13] Economic & Financial Implications - Russia continues to sell as much oil as before the war, potentially funding its military operations [7] - A Russian oil company leased a ship for $35 million for two years, which was then used to purchase the ship, highlighting financial mechanisms used to operate the shadow fleet [6]