X @Easy
Easy·2025-09-30 10:34
Market Predictions - The author identifies monthly prediction markets as offering favorable risk/reward ratios [1] - Four specific prediction markets are highlighted for October [1] Specific Market Bets - A "YES" bet is placed on an Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31st, based on Trump's comments suggesting a desire for peace [2] - A "NO" bet is placed on Russia capturing Kupiansk by October 31st, leveraging time decay [3] - A "YES" bet is placed on Gemini 3.0 being released by October 31st, anticipating a 42% gain, contingent on it being named Gemini 3.0 [3] - A "YES" bet is placed on a hurricane making landfall in the US by October 31st, based on hurricane season trends, but considered risky [3]