Market Uncertainty & Risks - The financial market faces danger due to potential government shutdown and missing economic data, specifically the delay of Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases [1] - The absence of NFP and CPI data leaves the Federal Reserve (FED) without critical indicators before the October 28–29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, potentially leading to guesswork in monetary policy [1] - The market needs clarity, but the FED operating blind will cause more confusion and uncertainty [1] - The expiration of September 30's quarterly options could remove a stabilizer that has protected the market from downside shocks [1] - The vanishing options cushion may allow volatility to explode [1] - Reduced liquidity combined with the FED operating blind and structural hedges disappearing could lead to massive market uncertainty [1] - Credit spreads, funding markets, and equity volatility could all reprice violently if shutdown headlines collide with the thin market structure [1]
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Doctor Profit 🇨🇭·2025-09-30 20:33