Haefele: The dollar is absorbing a lot of the shock

Market Trends & Economic Indicators - The market is highly sensitive to economic data, especially job-related reports like the ADP report, as the Federal Reserve aims to be data-dependent [1] - Investors are closely monitoring the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with market expectations leaning towards cuts occurring this month [2] - A declining dollar, although recently rebounding, is down double digits year-to-date, impacting different sectors uniquely [6] Investment Strategies & Sector Focus - Investors are using options to hedge against potential market downside, indicating a cautious approach [2] - The firm favors tech, AI, power, and resources (driven by tech), and healthcare sectors, as they are expected to be less affected by potential shutdowns [3] - The firm has been overweight on gold as a strategy to absorb market shocks and volatility [3] - The firm suggests exploring opportunities outside the US, such as China Tech and Japan, considering potential political changes [4] - Emerging markets, particularly Brazil, are attractive due to cheaper valuations and global dynamics [7] - Opportunities exist in commodities like platinum and copper, which tend to benefit emerging markets [8][9] Company Strategy & Outlook - The firm emphasizes focusing on quality companies that are more resilient to dollar weakness, especially in sectors like tech with significant overseas sales and low debt [7] - The firm is playing the power and resources trade globally, driven by the increasing demand for resources related to AI and server farms [9] - Potential government stimulus in China could provide a boost to commodities [10]