Market Trends & Sentiment - Despite anxieties around government shutdowns and trade deals, Nvidia and Micron are at record highs, indicating continued allocation to the AI trade [1] - Tech stocks, particularly big tech in the US, remain attractive to investors seeking solid trades [3] - Optimism surrounding potential Federal Reserve rate cuts is supporting the tech sector [3] - There's a pull from the US into tech stocks in Europe, showing encouraging signs for the European tech sector [4][5] Policy & Geopolitics - US administration policy is a central part of how markets are responding and affecting sentiment [7] - The market's response to policy announcements is more relaxed compared to the beginning of the previous administration [8][9] - The US government may proactively seek stakes in sectors and companies, potentially to enhance competitiveness against countries like China [10] - Taiwan rejects a US demand to bring 50% of semiconductor manufacturing into the United States, impacting trade negotiations and the technology sector [6] Valuation & Risk - High valuations are noted, but it's crucial to focus on earnings season and forward guidance [11][12] - The market is considered overstretched in some areas, but a big collapse is not necessarily expected; consolidation is possible [13] - Positive earnings reports in the coming months and further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts could catalyze another leg higher [13]
Markets React to Trump Policy Shifts