Government Shutdown to Disrupt a Second Week of Economic Data

Economic Indicators & Data Uncertainty - Traditional economic indicators are currently unreliable due to ongoing circumstances [1] - Key data releases including trade figures, jobless claims, and inventories are anticipated but may be delayed [1] - The market is closely watching New York Fed inflation expectations and the University of Michigan sentiment index [2] - The availability and reliability of CPI data are uncertain, potentially based on only 45% of usual data [5][6] Federal Reserve (Fed) Communication & Policy - Fed minutes from the first meeting and ongoing Fed speaker events are being monitored for insights into rate-cutting cycle [2] - The impact of Fed speakers is questioned due to the lack of new economic data [3] - Jay Powell's upcoming speech on the economic outlook is a key event [4] Upcoming Economic Data - CPI, PPI, retail sales, import prices, and housing starts data are highly anticipated but their release depends on government operations [5]