Economy Is on Bit of a 'Sugar High,' Griffin Says

US Economic Outlook - The Trump administration's policies aim to improve the lives of American families, fueling market enthusiasm [1] - The US economy is currently experiencing fiscal and monetary stimulus typically seen during a recession, despite being in a period of near full employment [2] - The US economy is currently on a "sugar high" [3] Inflation and Monetary Policy - Markets may be underestimating the potential for substantial inflation due to immigration, fiscal, and monetary policies [4] - The Fed is prioritizing downside protection in the labor market over managing inflation, which could be risky if inflation reaccelerates in early 2026 [7] - The debate centers on whether the Fed should focus on the labor market or inflation, reminiscent of Janet Yellen's approach to avoid a second recession and job losses [5][6] Tariffs - The market has largely moved past tariff concerns, but high inflation issues related to tariffs remain unresolved [3]