X @Arthur Hayes

Macroeconomic Analysis - Japan's long-term deflation, potentially since the 1980s, is attributed to a low birth rate, leading to decreased consumer demand and persistently low prices [1] - The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy of printing money and maintaining near-zero interest rates aimed to stimulate inflation [1][2] - The end of cheap money in Japan, with rising yields, could force global hedge funds and private equity firms to sell assets to repay debts in Japanese currency [2] - A potential crash in asset prices due to the unwinding of yen-carry trades could lead to companies facing financial difficulties, layoffs, and overall economic hardship [2] Investment and Financial Market Implications - Venture capital and hedge funds have been borrowing Japanese Yen to purchase American assets, driving up asset prices in America [2] - The reversal of Japan's monetary policy could trigger a global asset sell-off, impacting company valuations and capital availability [2]