Market Analysis & Trends - The S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow have broken medium-term supports, potentially indicating further downside risk [1] - Markets are closely watching the 50-day moving averages and recent lows around 6550 for the S&P 500; holding these levels could encourage a bull market recovery [2] - Market breadth is weak, with the AI boom disproportionately driving the S&P 500 to higher highs [4] - The New York Stock Exchange's advanced decline cumulative line has not reached new highs in months, indicating fewer stocks are supporting the overall market [4] - The percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average within the S&P 500 is declining, suggesting weakening support for the index [5] Investment Strategy & Risk Assessment - Tactical hedges were suggested due to weak breadth and the potential for market corrections, especially in October [5] - A market analogy is drawn to the 2015-2018 period, suggesting a potential 10% correction into year-end or early Q1 [6][7][8] - Overbought conditions in gold, silver, and platinum, with monthly RSI above 90, are considered unsustainable and not responsible investments [9] - While trends in gold and silver may continue, the likelihood of a short-term correction is high, requiring a trailing stop-loss strategy [10] - It may be easier to find charts where the monthly RSI is going from 50 to 90 than to invest in charts that are already at high levels [11]
Market breadth looks terrible, says Bank of America's Paul Ciana
CNBC Television·2025-10-13 20:19