X @憨巴龙王
憨巴龙王·2025-10-14 23:58

Investment Strategy - The author reflects on a shift from conservative investment sizing (small altcoins at $50-100 thousand, large altcoins at $1-2 million, major coins at $10-20 million, portfolio capped at 40%) to a more aggressive approach based on high perceived win rates [1] - The author argues that limiting position size is a sign of weakness and that larger bets should be placed when win rates and odds are favorable, potentially referencing Kelly Criterion principles [1] Risk Management & Market Analysis - The author dismisses concerns about unquantifiable black swan events in the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that increased downside risk correlates with higher rebound probability and larger potential payouts [1] - The author implies that the Kelly formula can be applied to crypto trading by quantifying win rate and payout [1] Market Sentiment - The author expresses frustration with individuals who question the application of quantitative methods to cryptocurrency trading, perceiving their arguments as flawed [1]