October is typically the best month for bitcoin, but this year looks a lot different

Bitcoin Seasonality & Market Analysis - Historically, October has been a positive month for Bitcoin, with an 86% positive win percentage since 2018 [1] - Seasonally, the period from mid-October to the first week of November is bullish for Bitcoin [1] - Bitcoin's current trading range has been between approximately 108,000 and 125,000 since July [1] - The crypto market experienced a shrinkage of 600 billion since last Friday [1] Potential Catalysts & Risks - Banks are starting to roll out custody of Bitcoin and crypto assets [1] - A hard deadline on Halloween, October 31st, exists for the distribution of confiscated coins from Mount Gox, posing a small risk of whales dumping their new holdings [1] - The IRS is rolling out new tax forms to report crypto sales in the spring of 2026, which could cause jitters around tax day [1] - Spot crypto funds have seen inflows of $40 billion year-to-date, and any slowdown in these flows could indicate lower crypto demand [1] Altcoins & Market Diversification - Solana is considered the fastest-growing technology platform and could be included in a diversified portfolio alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum [2] - Solana ETFs are anticipated, with filings from firms like Fidelity, VanEck, and Franklin Templeton [2]