Gold's traditional inverse link to stocks has broken down, says Breakout Capital CIO Ruchir Sharma
CNBC Television·2025-10-20 15:58

Market Correlation & Liquidity - Historically, gold and stocks tend to move in opposite directions, but currently are rallying together due to massive liquidity in the system [1][2] - The excess liquidity stems from legacy liquidity post-pandemic, with over $1500 billion floating in money market mutual funds, and retail flow [4][10] - Gold's recent parabolic increase is driven by the same momentum retail crowd driving up stocks, not traditional safe haven investors [7] - Currently, gold has outperformed stocks in a bull market, which is unprecedented, indicating an "everything bull market" [9] Potential Risks & Future Outlook - The unusual correlation between gold and stocks may end when traditional inflation resurfaces, forcing the Federal Reserve to withdraw liquidity [13][14] - If the Fed withdraws liquidity, both stocks and gold could decline simultaneously, as gold may no longer act as a hedge [6][14] - The market should watch for central banks' inclination to withdraw excess liquidity from the system [15] - There is a concern that on the downside, there will be a positive correlation between gold and stocks, surprising investors [8][12]