Tom Lee Says Bitcoin To $200,000 and Ethereum To $21,000 This Year
From The Desk Of Anthony Pompliano·2025-10-26 14:00

AI & Market Bubble - The AI sector is not in a bubble because Nvidia, a key AI chip maker, trades at 27 times forward earnings, cheaper than Costco (50 times) and Walmart (34 times) [1] - AI spending is accelerating as enterprises see payoffs, contrasting with past bubbles where absurd behaviors were prevalent [1][2] - The more people who yell bubble, it seems like the less likely we're in one [1] Valuation & Monetary Policy - Traditional valuation methods may not apply due to a "monetary premium" in stocks [2] - Stock valuations are dynamic; P/E ratios can rise even with rising nominal rates if earnings accelerate [2] - The 10-year bond at 4% implies a 25 P/E ratio, suggesting the bond market is expensive [2] Economic Data & Sentiment - The University of Michigan survey's inflation expectations are skewed due to a higher proportion of Democratic respondents, making the data potentially unreliable [4][5] - Prediction markets like Polymarket may offer better signals than traditional surveys for economic indicators [5] - The current stock rally is "the most hated," with the AAII net bulls index averaging -117%, similar to bear market years [15][16] Crypto & Blockchain - Crypto companies breaking into the mainstream often outperform their legacy counterparts; Tether is highlighted as an example [8] - Tokenized dollars (stablecoins) function better than traditional US dollars [8] - AI and robots are increasing the use case for crypto [4] Bitmine & Ethereum - Bitmine aims to acquire 5% of the Ethereum supply; it currently holds 323% million ETH [25] - Bitmine's primary strategy is to hold Ethereum as a treasury asset and benefit from staking rewards [26][28] - Ethereum is in a super cycle similar to Wall Street in 1971, with potential for significant price appreciation; a target of $21000 per token is mentioned [32] Future Trends - Sovereign security, longevity, and Generation Alpha are potential new super cycles to watch [3] - Embodied AI and humanoid robots are part of the global labor supplier theme [3] - Taxing robotic activities through micropayments could replace lost tax revenue from human labor [4]