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CME Gaps and Crypto Market Dynamics - Weekend crypto pumps often create CME gaps, with a 65-90% chance of prices falling to fill them [1][13][19][33] - Derivatives markets, estimated to be 4-5 times larger than spot markets, significantly influence crypto prices [4] - CME gaps occur when crypto prices move significantly above or below the last CME futures contract price while the CME is closed [12][14][15] - Bitcoin leads the market, so Bitcoin CME gaps have the most significant impact [13][33] - Bitcoin CME gaps typically fill within 2 weeks, with 80% filling within 30 days [17][36] Institutional Trading and CME Gaps - Institutional investors use basis trades (buying spot Bitcoin ETFs and shorting Bitcoin on the CME) to profit from price discrepancies [21][22] - CME gaps are filled due to institutional trading strategies that realign spot prices with futures prices [23][24] - CME gaps highlight that crypto spot markets may not be as liquid as advertised [26][27] CME's Response and Future Outlook - The CME will introduce 24/7 futures trading in early 2026 to reduce volatility caused by CME gaps [29][30][32] - CME gaps increase volatility in the crypto market, which is undesirable for both traders/investors and institutions [31][32] - Trading CME gaps can be a profitable strategy with proper position sizing, low leverage, and patience [34][42]