Earnings Reports & Market Analysis - This week features earnings reports from Palantir, Uber, AMD, Spotify, Shopify, DoorDash, FICO, Texas Roadhouse, and Duolingo [3] - Tom Lee believes the market will continue upwards aggressively, citing historical precedence, negative market sentiment, falling inflation, and record profitability [4][84][85][87][89][90][92] Palantir Analysis - Palantir's revenue growth is accelerating, driven by a strong increase in US customer count from 161 to 485 [8][9][10] - Palantir's free cash flow has increased from less than $200 million in 2022 to $17 billion in the trailing 12 months [10][11] - Palantir's valuation is extremely high, with a forward price to sales ratio of about 90, making it reliant on fast growth [12][13][14][15][17] Company Specific Insights - Shopify is expanding into AI-driven commerce and targeting larger enterprise merchants, with a focus on merchant solutions, payments, and Shop Pay [22][23][24] - Uber's CEO is bullish on autonomous vehicles, but partnerships beyond Waymo are largely on paper, and Tesla could pose a competitive threat [29][30][32][33][35] - Spotify is experiencing continued monthly active user growth, leveraging its refined product, user interface, and network effects to compete with larger competitors, aiming for nearly 700 million active users and embracing video and AI tools [42][43][45][46][47] - AMD is a serious competitor in the AI race, with deals with OpenAI, but trades at a high valuation with a forward price to earnings of 46 and free cash flow yield below 1% [48][49] - Duolingo aims to be the dominant digital learning app, expanding beyond language learning into chess, math, and music, with 477 million daily active users and over 109 million paid users [66][67][68][71][65][66] - Texas Roadhouse is a top-tier restaurant with a good value proposition, but its relatively small size makes it a riskier holding compared to tech companies [78][81][82][83] OpenAI & Amazon - Amazon has announced a $38 billion multi-year partnership with OpenAI to run and scale its AI workloads in Amazon Web Services [96] - Sam Altman's defensive reaction to a question about OpenAI's revenue versus spending commitments was deemed a "fail of the week" [102][103][117]
Tom Lee On Earnings Week: The Market Will Keep Going Up