X @Elon Musk
Elon Musk·2025-11-11 02:05
RT ELON CLIPS (@ElonClipsX)Elon Musk on how he makes predictions: I generally try to get the estimate to the nearest order of magnitude.Herbert Ong: “We want to understand how you think. For example, in the Master Plan Part II, you calculated it takes 6 billion of FSD miles driven before maybe the regulators would approve it. How did you know?”Elon: “I generally try to get things to within an order of magnitude. So, it seemed to me like probably, and this was technically in kilometers, but it would be close ...