Consumer spending decisions will be driven by promotions, says The Conference Board CEO Steve Odland

Holiday Spending Trends - Conference Board expects overall holiday spending to be slightly down, differing from NRF's narrower focus on retail [2] - Spending decrease is concentrated among younger, cash-strapped consumers [2] - Younger consumers plan to spend in November due to deals, impacting retail margins [3][4] Consumer Sentiment and Economic Factors - Consumer confidence index has been relatively stable, awaiting inflation relief and trade deal progress [5][6] - Jobs are stable and wages are rising, providing consumers with cash despite high debt levels [6] - Consumers will be selective in their purchases [7] Inflation and Travel - Tariffs are projected to impact inflation by approximately 50 basis points in the latter part of the year [11] - 70% of consumers are avoiding travel, similar to last year, due to inflation and travel difficulties [11] - Easing travel restrictions could lead to increased spending [12] Consumer Behavior - Consumers may spend more than surveys indicate if they have cash or access to debt [9] - A spending bump is expected in January when sales begin [10]