Recession? Market Crash? The Data Says Do NOT Bet On It

Market Analysis & Economic Outlook - Market selloff last week spooked investors, questioning the bull market's continuation [2] - Easy money from rate cuts and AI optimism were key market drivers, now under scrutiny [3][4] - White House anticipates real purchasing power to substantially accelerate in the first half of 2026 [11] - The market volatility is less likely to be the start of a big recession or a big market crash across all asset classes [23] Investment Strategies & Opportunities - International stocks are expected to outperform US stocks [27] - Humanoids and longevity are seen as areas with asymmetric returns [31][33] - Bitcoin is considered a potentially best-performing asset due to tokenization and clarity act [32] Economic Data & Consumer Sentiment - Purchasing power dropped by approximately $3,000 under Joe Biden's presidency but has increased by about $1,200 under President Trump [10] - 54% of Americans with incomes between $30,000 and $80,000 now have a taxable brokerage account [18] - Nearly 40% of 25-year-olds now have an investment account, up from 6% in 2015 [19] AI & Automation Debate - A politician proposes regulations to prevent companies from using AI to eliminate jobs [34] - Concerns raised about limiting technological evolution and its potential to create more value for workers [36] - AI is automating tasks, leading to increased efficiency, productivity, and profits for companies [42]