Bitcoin Drops Below $85,000, Could it go below $80,000?
Bloomberg Television·2025-12-02 00:01

ETF Market Dynamics - Outflows from Bitcoin ETFs are small relative to the massive inflows over the past 18 months, representing only a couple percentage points [1] - Ethereum ETFs have experienced approximately $25 billion outflows, warranting close attention [2] - A significant portion of the outflows is attributed to the basis trade, a strategy favored by hedge funds [3] - The basis trade, involving selling front-month futures contracts and buying spot at the same time, offered an annualized yield that has fluctuated, reaching 20% at times but now below 5% [4][5] - Decreased interest in the basis trade is driving money out of these ETFs, while retail investors and long-term investment advisors continue to buy [5] - The ETF space is experiencing aggressive growth, with inflows exceeding $1 trillion this year [15] Crypto Regulation and Taxation - Uncertainty surrounding regulatory clarity from the SEC and CFTC has been a concern for institutional investors in crypto ETFs and crypto investing [7] - Tax changes, including guidance from the IRS on "good income" versus "bad income," are expected to reshape the crypto landscape [6][8] - The tax treatment of staking yield, where assets are locked up to contribute to the network in return for in-kind Ethereum, is currently unclear [9][10] - Crypto ETFs are starting to allow for staking yield, but some institutional investors are hesitant due to potential tax implications [10] ETF Product Innovation - Hundreds of new crypto ETFs with different variations, leverage, and yield plays are expected to launch [12] - "Manufactured yield" products, using derivatives to generate high yields (sometimes over 80%), are gaining popularity [12][13] - Active ETFs, including "boomer candy" products offering downside protection, are growing rapidly, with legacy asset managers entering the market [13][14] - Goldman Sachs is acquiring a company specializing in buffer products, indicating a significant move into the active ETF space [14][15]