Mohamed El-Erian: U.S. yield moves have more to do with Japan than Fed

Fed Chair & Policy - The market hasn't shown concern about Kevin Hasset potentially becoming the next Fed chair, despite some reports suggesting otherwise [2] - The next Fed chair will inherit a divided Federal Reserve, requiring time to establish authority [3][6][7] - The focus should be on long-term implications for the Fed's reform rather than short-term rate cuts [4][5] Interest Rate Cut Expectations - The market expects a rate cut, with expectations at 91% [8] - The rate cut is anticipated to be hawkish, potentially framed due to confusing and incomplete data [8][9] - The current Fed is seen as excessively data-dependent and backward-looking [9]