Market Analysis - Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq is a key factor, but Bitcoin's underperformance relative to the Nasdaq indicates a potential mispricing [1] - The market experienced a significant crash, with Bitcoin correcting from $115 thousand to $80 thousand in two weeks [1] - "Beta" assets (high-volatility, tech stocks) have recovered substantially, signaling a "risk-on" appetite in the market [2][3] - A divergence exists between Beta assets and Bitcoin ($BTC), suggesting Bitcoin may soon follow the upward trend of Beta assets [3] - The analysis suggests Bitcoin is likely to rebound to $110-115 thousand in the coming weeks or months, reversing its recent losses [3] Investment Strategy - The report favors charts with direct relevance to Bitcoin's price over time-based assumptions like the 4-year cycle [4] - The recent correction in Bitcoin's price is viewed as potentially "dubious," implying a buying opportunity [3] Risk Assessment - The market crash saw a decline in assets characterized by "Pure Vol vs Pure Profitability or Beta vs Quality" [2] - "Quality" assets are defined as risk-off, profitable, and stable companies, contrasting with high-volatility "Beta" assets [2]
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Michaël van de Poppe·2025-12-09 20:00