Pass through of tariff costs to consumer has been slow, says Mastercard's Meyer

Consumer Spending Trends - Consumer spending remains engaged, with retail sales excluding autos up 41% driven by double-digit growth in e-commerce during Black Friday [2] - Overall spending is running at approximately 4% [3] - Inflation in the holiday basket is around 2%, slightly above last year's deflationary levels [6] Economic Factors and Uncertainty - The unemployment rate climbed to 46% in November, the highest in over four years [1] - Companies stockpiled inventory in advance and shifted supply chains to mitigate price adjustments [8] - Uncertainty around trade changes and the global realignment of trade impacts workforce allocation [11] - Uncertainty surrounding AI investments also influences workforce decisions [12] Labor Market Dynamics - Churn in the workforce is lower, indicating a slowdown in the hiring rate [10] - Companies are cautious in allocating dollars towards the workforce due to uncertainty [11] - There is no increase in firing, which is a positive sign [12]