What Robinhood's prediction markets push means for fintech industry

Market Trends & User Behavior - Prediction market business presents upside for the fintech space, with Robinhood and Coinbase users nine times more likely to participate than non-users [1] - Survey data indicates that users betting on sports are the same people buying equities and crypto [2][3] - Gen Z views buying crypto as investing, and potentially sports betting as investing as well [5] - Combining investing, prediction markets, and sports betting may blur the lines between wealth building and gambling [6] Regulatory & Risk Considerations - The new administration's policies may be contributing to the ease of access to crypto and gambling/betting [2] - Concerns exist regarding the lack of guardrails and potential regulatory changes in the future that could separate these activities [7] - Sports betting carries risks and enters users into the gambling world [6] Company Strategy & Financial Implications - Robinhood and Coinbase aim to provide a one-stop shop for users betting on sports, crypto, and equities [8] - Robinhood's numbers are projected to increase by 6-7% due to the launch of sports betting on the platform [8] - 37% of the average Coinbase user is likely to sell crypto rather than put in fresh money for sports betting, potentially leading to self-cannibalization [9] - Caution is advised regarding Coinbase's entry into betting/prediction markets due to potentially dilutive take rates compared to crypto [10]