US Government Shutdown by January 31st?
Bankless·2026-01-30 18:19
The probability of a government shutdown has spiked on poly. >> This is actually a poly market that kind of like rocked around the world this week because we went from a chance of US government shutdown by Saturday which I think is the last day of this month of January. It was at 9%. It was going down. It was like 20% earlier in the month 10% 9% and then it shot up to 80% in a single move on January 24th. It shot up >> on January 24th. And so now the market poly market is pricing in that the government's ge ...